Showing posts with label Nifty. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nifty. Show all posts

Friday, 28 September 2012

Nifty Future : Below 5729..Watch Panic Selling


Suppose………………..Nifty Future not crosses 5766 & remains below 5758 level.
Slide upto 5736-5729 on card !
If able to trade below 5729 for 15 minutes or more ………..Watch PANIC selling upto 
5706—–5699—————5676 level in hrs only ??
-More Details to our Subscribers…………..Via SMS !

Wednesday, 26 September 2012

Trading Strategy for 26th Sept ’2012.Below 5662..Panic upto 5643-5632



Trading too big – you will exit because of fear, not because your thesis was proven incorrect. Define an amount you could afford to lose, a price level where your thesis will be invalidated and based on that data come up with the right position size for you. 
Traders focus almost entirely on where to enter a trade. In reality, the entry size is often more important than the entry price because if the size is too large, a trader will be more likely to exit a good trade on a meaningless adverse price move. The larger the position, the greater the danger that trading decisions will be driven by fear rather than by judgment and experience. – Steve Clark
If you don’t understand why you are in a trade, you won’t understand when it is the right time to sell, which means you will only sell when the price action scares you. Most of the time when price action scares you, it is a buying opportunity, not a sell indicator. – Martin Taylor
Yesterday ,Written 5678-5662 are Support and Hurdle @ 5719 level.It kissed low of 5662 & Made High of  5709.
Last Close :5683
-Below 5678 level if trades for 15-20 minutes with volumes will take to 5643-5632.
(Yes ,Once Breaks 5662 with volumes then will see above mentioned levels )
7DEMA @ 5622.
Hurdle @ 5698—5702 ,There after 5719 is possible.
101% Will Update More to our Subscribers during Trading hrs.
Will it First Kiss 5735-5750 or Will Crash to kiss 5600—5500 level ??

Monday, 24 September 2012

Nifty Future : Just Watch 5678 level for Nifty Future


Just have a eye on 5678 for Nifty Future.
Decisive Break below this level with volumes + stays below for 15-20 minutes will take to  5643-5632 in PANIC.
There after more BLOODBATH !!
101% ,SBI-PNB-ICICI-AXIS Bank -RELIANCE -TATA STEEL………Honeymoon over.
Correction for 1-3 DAYS…..Not ruled out.

Sunday, 23 September 2012

Weekly Tip : Sell Zinc (Sept)


ZINC SELL ZINC (SEPT) BELOW 110.80 SL 114 TARGET 106


  •  Zinc open interest slumps most in 16 Months as prices rise and LME cancelled warrant ratio jumps to 37.09%, highest since start of this year.
  •  Increased buying by speculators, supported by pick-up in demand in the spot market mainly helped
  •  Zinc futures to trade higher this week.
  • While looking at weekly chart, MCX Zinc has taken resistance around 115.50 4 times since Sept 2010 making it a strong resistance. This week’s high was 115.15 and Zinc didn’t sustain above it.
  • In LME Zinc has resistance around 2150 and support around 2070.

Sell Crude Oil


CRUDE OIL                        Sell MCX CRUDE OIL (OCT) below 4950 SL 5060 TGT 4800



  • US commercial crude oil inventories rose by 8.5 mb to 367.6 mb on resumed production in Gulf of Mexico after Hurricane Isaaac while gasoline stockpiles declined by 1.4 mb to 196.3 mb in the week ended Sept 14.
  • The OPEC and the IEA executive director stated that the oil market is well supplied while OPEC spare capacity is at comfortable levels to balance the supply-demand.
  • U.S. fuel demand in August dropped to the lowest level for the month in 15 years according to the American Petroleum Institute with total deliveries dropped 4.3% to 18.6 mb\day in August 2012 from a year earlier.
  • Crude oil futures at NYMEX are trading near $93 and we expect oil prices to trade downside with re-sistance at $95 and support at $90 and $87. We recommend selling in oil prices on weak fundamen-tals on weak demand concerns with prices breaching support at $94. At MCX, crude oil (Oct) has im-portant support at INR 4790 and resistance lies at INR 5060


COMMODITY RESEARCH : WEEKLY COMMODITY UPDATE


GOLD                               Sell MCX Gold (Oct) below 31450 SL 31610 TGT 31100



  •  Even though COMEX Gold gained consecutively for fifth week but the gains were minimal as com-pared to past five weeks due to Euro region currency witnessing the first weekly loss in last six weeks.
  •  Euro seems quite weaker which In turn results into strength of the greenback reducing safe heaven demand of yellow metal as Greek Prime Minister handed the third refusal in less than two weeks by his coalition partners on an 11.5 billion-euro ($14.9 billion) budget-cut package that’s key to receiving international aid funds indicating probable delay in Greek bailout till early October.
  •  Looking from the Technical perspective, Gold seems quite weaker than Silver as it formed Shooting Star candle stick pattern on a daily chart indicating a correction while on a weekly chart also it indi-cates a formation of Doji candle. Hence, price correction till $1750 is expected with MCX Gold (Oct) seems testing 31100 with the resistances being 31610 and 31800.
  •  Hence, it is advisable to build short position in MCX Gold (Oct) below 31450 SL 31610 and TGT being 31100.


Saturday, 22 September 2012

Copper Looking Weak due to Strong Rupee


-We had Forecasted & written COPPER-MCX ….Will Hit and Will face Hurdle at 463.
On 14th Sept it kissed 462.95 & CRASHED !!
(Not crossing 463 ,Our Down Targets were :452—-449 )
Below 449…………..Already told to our Subscribers ,It will Melt upto 441—438 level in panic.
Will Update more to our Subscribers on Monday !!
Yes ,Our Upper Targets were :5077-5109 level.
Yesterday kissed 5054 & CRASHED to 4950 & closed at 4961.
154.50———156 are Hurdles.If crosses and Stays above 156 then ?

Friday, 21 September 2012

Silver Spot -Major Hurdle $ 35.36.Below 63579…MCX Silver will Melt sharply



Today Spot Silver Kissed HIGH of $ 35.18 & Now Trading at $ 34.57
Yes ,Our LAXMAN REKHA or MAJOR Hurdle at $ 35.36
Three Consecutive close above $35.36+ Weekly Close above this level will take to $ 37.50 ,38.21 level.
Our Support levels intact :63817—63579 level.
If Breaks and Remains below 63579 level for 20-25 minutes or More then ??
Slide upto 62864——-62626 on card ??

USDINR (Spot )..Can touch upto 52.94-52.39 possible !

-Above is Weekly Chart of SPOT -USDINR
Now @ 53.49 level.
Slide upto 52.94—-52.39 not ruled out in PANIC.
Three Consecutive Close below 52.39 +Weekly Close if Happens then ??
Slide upto 50.74———-50.19 not ruled out.
-More Details to our Subscribers.
(From High of  57.33 in 14 weeks……………Down to 53.40 )
Everything favouring INDIA + FII’s…


Three Consecutive Close +Weekly Close above 5724 ,Nifty Future will Touch 6000-6100.



Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future

Above is Weekly Chart of NIFTY FUTURE
ALERT-Nifty future
Height of Triangle was 604 POINTS !!
(Boldly written ,Now will not Break 5300-5200………..and We are Heading towards 5750-6000+ level very soon )
5493+604 =6097 level !!
Rising Channel………..Upper Trendline Connecting 5402 & 5634 ………….Target : 6000-6050 level !!
ALERT-Nifty future
Three Consecutive Close above 5724 +Weekly Close if Happens 
Nonstop Rally upto 6000———6091 not ruled out.
ALERT-Nifty future
Nifty Future had left TWO Gaps 1 @ 5286 & 2nd @ 5455 level.
(Will it fill these GAPS…………First or Will it Kiss 6000-6100 level ? )
The Way Nifty Future had Spurted or Stocks had Spurted ……….It looks that this Time Politicians  had done Handshaking with FII’s !!
In Last 10-15 Weeks it looks Govt Indicated Reforms /Ideas to Fii’s ,P NOTES…….+Many More things………!!
(Every Joker on TV was doing BLA BLA…and was talking about Economy ,Growth ,IIP Numbers ,INFLATION ,EUROZONE Crisis ,Interest Rate ,Monsoon and many more things……. )
Just see ………….and Think it over (Anything Changed in Corporate World /Indian Economy  ……Since JUNE 2012 ?? )

Buy Silver Micra

Buy Silver Micra above 64350 TGT - 1 64630, 64870

Buy SilverM above 64350 TGT - 1 64630, 64870

How the 99% can invest like the 1%


How the 99% can invest like the 1%

3 portfolio moves for the moneyed that Main Street can make


By Jonathan Burton, MarketWatch
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch)—The rich are different from you and me, except when it comes to the types of investments they make.
Sure, the wealthy have more zeros in their accounts and access to top financial advice, but the sophisticated capital preservation, hedging and portfolio-diversification strategies once available only to the country-club set are now available to the country at large.

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Big online banks are raising the rates they pay to savers. SmartMoney's AnnaMaria Andriotis looks at whether it's worth chasing higher yields.
Moreover, nowadays you can get the investing equivalent of a chauffeur-driven Cadillac for the price of a Camry. Many specialized boutique firms have branched beyond their high-net-worth bread-and-butter and offer their expertise to the retail public through relatively inexpensive, easily traded mutual funds and exchange-traded funds.
“A lot of options are opening up for the ordinary investor to really take control,” said Kevin Cimring, co-founder of Jemstep, an online investment-advice provider.” It puts them in a position that is closer to the advice wealthy investors take advantage of.”
Actually, rich investors are different in two important respects that ordinary investors can learn from: knowledge and strength. Their portfolio decisions typically are better-informed and they have sufficient diversification to hang tough in rough markets.
High-net-worth investors “understand the trade-off between risk and return,” said Kurt Silberstein, managing director of alternative investments at Ascent Private Capital Management, a division of U.S. Bank. “They have staying power and conviction in their investments.”

Risk and reward

Investing like those protected by deeper pockets can be risky, but blending a small amount of exotic holdings with traditional core holdings of stocks, bonds and cash in fact lowers a portfolio’s volatility, because alternative assets don’t move in lock-step with stocks and bonds. They’re even independent of precious metals, commodities and currencies.
In this way, investors get a smoother ride down Wall Street over time, and a cushion from the uncertainty of the U.S. “fiscal cliff,” euro-zone woes or whatever geopolitical challenges face the world.
“Look beyond stocks and bonds, and see what other options are available to enhance portfolio return,” said Jim Baird, chief investment strategist at Plante Moran Financial Advisors in Kalamazoo, Mich. “That’s where these types of strategies can come into play.”
Just realize that alternative investments won’t necessarily keep pace with stocks in runaway years such as this, where the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index SPX -0.05%  has gained around 18% so far. By comparison, for example, long-short equity mutual funds, which in addition to capturing upside also try to profit when stock prices fall, are up just 5%, according to investment researcher Morningstar Inc.
How do you fit alternative investments into your portfolio? For starters, if you have a financial adviser, learn about the types of assets being considered and how their characteristics could affect your portfolio, said William Koehler, CEO of Tower Wealth Managers in Prairie Village, Kan. And ask about cost. Some products come with high price tags; you can certainly find quality “mainstream” alternatives at a reasonable price.
“Most retail investors don’t need these more esoteric products,” especially ones that use leverage, said King Lip, chief investment officer at Baker Ave, an investment manager in San Francisco. “Capital preservation is the key. The rich have come to that conclusion and are staying diversified, protecting the downside; you don’t need to take a lot of risk to have investment success.”
Here are three invest-like-the-rich strategies to consider:

1. Long-Short Equity

Investors in long-short equity funds gain a responsiveness to market conditions that in the right hands can be highly effective. This year so far, most hedged long-short strategies are running far behind the stock-market averages. Still, returns are positive and these funds carry measurably less risk than the market overall.
“If we’re in a low-growth, high volatility market, that’s a bad environment to be long equities,” said Nadia Papagiannis, Morningstar’s director of alternative fund research. “Long-short protects against the downside. You need a manager who can short or hedge equity exposure. ”
Her favorite long-short investments include Wasatch Long/Short Fund FMLSX -0.14% , which she said buys and sells according to a stock’s fundamentals; Schooner Fund SCNAX -0.12% , which focuses on dividend stocks and options, and Marketfield Fund MFLDX -0.25% , which has a top-down approach to its stock-picking.

2. Managed Futures

Managed futures funds invest in myriad futures contracts tied to commodities, equities, bonds and other tradable assets. But these funds march to their own beat.
“They’re not correlated to stocks or bonds and have the potential for equity-like returns,” Papagiannis said. “They don’t need growth in the economy; they need price trends.”
Indeed, these portfolios do best when there’s a persistent market trend in either direction, added Jeff Layman, chief investment officer at BKD Wealth Advisors in Springfield, Mo. The worst environment is a range-bound market or one with a quick, sharp move, he noted.
“It’s one of the few areas where you can potentially be profitable when the market moves up or down,” said Layman, who uses AQR Managed Futures Strategy Fund AQMIX -0.10%  for clients. The fund’s performance is essentially flat for the year so far—much better than the category’s almost-5% average loss.

3. Market-Neutral

Market-neutral strategies match long- and short stock positions in an effort to neutralize most or all market volatility. The tactic succeeds when a manager generates excess return adjusted for the fund’s risk level, known in portfolio-speak as “alpha.”
So far this year the market-neutral fund category has gained only 1.4% on average, but many of these funds have done their job and delivered positive alpha, according to Papagiannis. One of her favorites is J.P. Morgan Research Market Neutral Fund JMNAX -0.14%  , which has gained about 4% so far in 2012.
Another recommendation, IQ Alpha Hedge Strategy Fund IQHIX 0.00% , isn’t a pure market-neutral product but includes the strategy along with several hedge-fund disciplines including arbitrage and global macro. It’s up close to 5% this year.
Said Papagiannis: “A combination of long-short equity, managed futures and market neutral would be a good combo.” 
Jonathan Burton is MarketWatch's money and investing editor, based in San Francisco.